Thursday, December 30, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 30

Predictions for Dec. 30

New York @ Orlando - Orlando by 5
San Antonio @ Dallas - San Antonio by 1
Utah @ Portland - Utah by 4

Results from Dec. 29

6/11 (54.5%) last night; 148/223 (66.4%) overall

Golden State @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 5  (Actual:  Atlanta by 10)
Cleveland @ Charlotte - Charlotte by 2  (Actual:  Charlotte by 9)
Indiana @ Washington - Indiana by 7  (Actual:  Washington by 14)
Boston @ Detroit - Boston by 13  (Actual:  Detroit by 12)
Denver @ Minnesota - Denver by 9  (Actual:  Denver by 6)
LA Lakers @ New Orleans - LA Lakers by 4  (Actual:  LA Lakers by 15)
New Jersey @ Oklahoma City - Oklahoma City by 9  (Actual:  Oklahoma City by 21)
Miami @ Houston - Miami by 9  (Actual:  Miami by 6)
Philadelphia @ Phoenix - Phoenix by 2   (Actual:  Philadelphia by 13)
Memphis @ Sacramento - Memphis by 9  (Actual:  Sacramento by 2)
Utah @ LA Clippers - Utah by 12  (Actual: Utah by 8)

Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 29

Predictions for Dec. 29

Golden State @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 5
Cleveland @ Charlotte - Charlotte by 2
Indiana @ Washington - Indiana by 7
Boston @ Detroit - Boston by 13
Denver @ Minnesota - Denver by 9
LA Lakers @ New Orleans - LA Lakers by 4
New Jersey @ Oklahoma City - Oklahoma City by 9
Miami @ Houston - Miami by 9
Philadelphia @ Phoenix - Phoenix by 2
Memphis @ Sacramento - Memphis by 9
Utah @ LA Clippers - Utah by 12

Results from Dec. 28

6/7 (85.7%) last night; 142/212 (67%) overall

Orlando @ Cleveland - Orlando by 13  (Actual:  Orlando by 15)
Boston @ Indiana - Boston by 8  (Actual:  Boston by 12)
New York @ Miami - Miami by 7  (Actual:  Miami by 8)
Milwaukee @ Chicago - Chicago by 2  (Actual:  Chicago by 13)
Toronto @ Dallas - Dallas by 14  (Actual:  Toronto by 8)
LA Lakers @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 5  (Actual:  San Antonio by 15)
Portland @ Denver - Denver by 1  (Actual:  Denver by 18)

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 28

Predictions for Dec. 28

Orlando @ Cleveland - Orlando by 13
Boston @ Indiana - Boston by 8
New York @ Miami - Miami by 7
Milwaukee @ Chicago - Chicago by 2
Toronto @ Dallas - Dallas by 14
LA Lakers @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 5
Portland @ Denver - Denver by 1

Results from Dec. 27

7/10 (70%) last night; 136/205 (66.3%) overall

Detroit @ Charlotte - Charlotte by 1  (Actual:  Charlotte by 5)
Orlando @ New Jersey - Orlando by 12  (Actual:  Orlando by 16)
Toronto @ Memphis - Memphis by 5  (Actual:  Memphis by 11)
Atlanta @ Milwaukee - Atlanta by 1  (Actual:  Atlanta by 15)
New Orleans @ Minnesota - New Orleans by 9  (Actual:  Minnesota by 15)
Dallas @ Oklahoma City - Dallas by 7  (Actual:  Dallas by 10)
Washington @ Houston - Houston by 6  (Actual:  Houston by 7)
Portland @ Utah - Utah by 7  (Actual:  Portland by 5)
LA Clippers @ Sacramento - LA Clippers by 2  (Actual:  LA Clippers by 1)
Philadelphia @ Golden State - Philadelphia by 1  (Actual:  Golden State by 15)

Monday, December 27, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 27

Predictions for Dec. 27

Detroit @ Charlotte - Charlotte by 1
Orlando @ New Jersey - Orlando by 12
Toronto @ Memphis - Memphis by 5
Atlanta @ Milwaukee - Atlanta by 1
New Orleans @ Minnesota - New Orleans by 9
Dallas @ Oklahoma City - Dallas by 7
Washington @ Houston - Houston by 6
Portland @ Utah - Utah by 7
LA Clippers @ Sacramento - LA Clippers by 2
Philadelphia @ Golden State - Philadelphia by 1

Results from Dec. 26

2/7 (28.6%) last night; 129/195 (66.1%) overall

Phoenix @ LA Clippers - Phoenix by 8  (Actual:  LA Clippers by 5)
Minnesota @ Cleveland - Cleveland by 1  (Actual:  Minnesota by 1)
Chicago @ Detroit - Chicago by 8  (Actual:  Chicago by 3)
Memphis @ Indiana - Indiana by 2  (Actual:  Memphis by 14)
Atlanta @ New Orleans - Atlanta by 1  (Actual:  New Orleans by 7)
Washington @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 15  (Actual:  San Antonio by 14)
Philadelphia @ Denver - Denver by 6  (Actual:  Philadelphia by 6)

Sunday, December 26, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 26

Predictions for Dec. 26

Phoenix @ LA Clippers - Phoenix by 8
Minnesota @ Cleveland - Cleveland by 1
Chicago @ Detroit - Chicago by 8
Memphis @ Indiana - Indiana by 2
Atlanta @ New Orleans - Atlanta by 1
Washington @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 15
Philadelphia @ Denver - Denver by 6

Results from Dec. 25

1/5 (20%) last night; 127/188 (67.6%) overall

Chicago @ New York - Chicago by 2  (Actual:  New York by 8)
Boston @ Orlando - Boston by 2  (Actual:  Orlando by 8)
Miami @ LA Lakers - Miami by 3  (Actual:  Miami by 16)
Denver @ Oklahoma City - Denver by 1  (Actual:  Oklahoma City by 8)
Portland @ Golden State - Portland by 5  (Actual:  Golden State by 7)

Saturday, December 25, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 25

Predictions for Dec. 25

Chicago @ New York - Chicago by 2
Boston @ Orlando - Boston by 2
Miami @ LA Lakers - Miami by 3
Denver @ Oklahoma City - Denver by 1
Portland @ Golden State - Portland by 5

Results from Dec. 23


2/3 (66.7%) last night; 126/183 (68.9%) overall

San Antonio @ Orlando - San Antonio by 6  (Actual:  Orlando by 22)
Milwaukee @ Sacramento - Milwaukee by 9  (Actual:  Milwaukee by 5)
Miami @ Phoenix - Miami by 5  (Actual:  Miami by 12)

Thursday, December 23, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 23

Predictions for Dec. 23

San Antonio @ Orlando - San Antonio by 6
Milwaukee @ Sacramento - Milwaukee by 9
Miami @ Phoenix - Miami by 5

Results from Dec. 22

7/9 (77.8%) last night; 124/180 (68.9%) overall

Cleveland @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 8  (Actual:  Atlanta by 14)
Detroit @ Toronto - Toronto by 1  (Actual:  Detroit by 22)
Chicago @ Washington - Chicago by 10  (Actual:  Chicago by 7)
Philadelphia @ Boston - Boston by 11  (Actual:  Boston by 4)
Oklahoma City @ New York - Oklahoma City by 3  (Actual:  New York by 14)
Utah @ Minnesota - Utah by 13  (Actual:  Utah by 5)
New Jersey @ New Orleans - New Orleans by 7  (Actual:  New Orleans by 14)
Denver @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 7  (Actual:  San Antonio by 6)
Houston @ LA Clippers - Houston by 5  (Actual:  Houston by 5)

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 22

Predictions for Dec. 22

Cleveland @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 8
Detroit @ Toronto - Toronto by 1
Chicago @ Washington - Chicago by 10
Philadelphia @ Boston - Boston by 11
Oklahoma City @ New York - Oklahoma City by 3
Utah @ Minnesota - Utah by 13
New Jersey @ New Orleans - New Orleans by 7
Denver @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 7
Houston @ LA Clippers - Houston by 5

Results from Dec. 21

4/6 (66.7%) last night; 117/171 (68.4%) overall

Oklahoma City @ Charlotte - Oklahoma City by 8  (Actual:  Oklahoma City by 18)
Dallas @ Orlando - Dallas by 6  (Actual:  Dallas by 6)
Philadelphia @ Chicago - Chicago by 6  (Actual:  Chicago by 45)
New Jersey @ Memphis - Memphis by 6  (Actual:  New Jersey by 7)
Golden State @ Sacramento - Golden State by 5  (Actual:  Golden State by 8)
Milwaukee @ LA Lakers - LA Lakers by 5  (Actual:  Milwaukee by 19)

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 21

Predictions for Dec. 21

Oklahoma City @ Charlotte - Oklahoma City by 8
Dallas @ Orlando - Dallas by 6
Philadelphia @ Chicago - Chicago by 6
New Jersey @ Memphis - Memphis by 6
Golden State @ Sacramento - Golden State by 5
Milwaukee @ LA Lakers - LA Lakers by 5

Results from Dec. 20

6/9 (66.7%) last night; 113/165 (68.5%) overall

Orlando @ Atlanta - Orlando by 4  (Actual:  Atlanta by 10)
Utah @ Cleveland - Utah by 12  (Actual:  Utah by 11)
New Orleans @ Indiana - New Orleans by 2  (Actual:  Indiana by 1)
Charlotte @ Washington - Charlotte by 3  (Actual:  Washington by 33)
Dallas @ Miami - Dallas by 3  (Actual:  Dallas by 2)
Phoenix @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 9  (Actual:  San Antonio by 8)
Milwaukee @ Portland - Portland by 1  (Actual:  Portland by 26)
Houston @ Golden State - Houston by 1  (Actual:  Houston by 9)
Minnesota @ LA Clippers - LA Clippers by 1  (Actual:  LA Clippers by 23)

Sunday, December 19, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 20

Predictions for Dec. 20

Orlando @ Atlanta - Orlando by 4
Utah @ Cleveland - Utah by 12
New Orleans @ Indiana - New Orleans by 2
Charlotte @ Washington - Charlotte by 3
Dallas @ Miami - Dallas by 3
Phoenix @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 9
Milwaukee @ Portland - Portland by 1
Houston @ Golden State - Houston by 1
Minnesota @ LA Clippers - LA Clippers by 1

Results from Dec. 19

3/6 (50%) last night; 107/156 (68.6%) overall

Indiana @ Boston - Boston by 9  (Actual:  Boston by 11)
Atlanta @ New Jersey - Atlanta by 9  (Actual:  New Jersey by 7)
LA Lakers @ Toronto - LA Lakers by 9  (Actual:  LA Lakers by 10)
New Orleans @ Detroit - New Orleans by 10  (Actual:  Detroit by 3)
Houston @ Sacramento - Houston by 6  (Actual:  Houston by 9)
Phoenix @ Oklahoma City - Oklahoma City by 5  (Actual:  Phoenix by 3)

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 19

Predictions for Dec. 19

Indiana @ Boston - Boston by 9
Atlanta @ New Jersey - Atlanta by 9
LA Lakers @ Toronto - LA Lakers by 9
New Orleans @ Detroit - New Orleans by 10
Houston @ Sacramento - Houston by 6
Phoenix @ Oklahoma City - Oklahoma City by 5

Results from Dec. 18

5/8 (62.5%) last night; 104/150 (69.3%) overall

Philadelphia @ Orlando - Orlando by 10  (Actual:  Philadelphia by 8)
Miami @ Washington - Miami by 13  (Actual:  Miami by 1)
New York @ Cleveland - New York by 7  (Actual:  Cleveland by 7)
LA Clippers @ Chicago - Chicago by 11  (Actual:  LA Clippers by 1)
Utah @ Milwaukee - Utah by 8  (Actual:  Utah by 9)
Memphis @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 10  (Actual:  San Antonio by 6)
Minnesota @ Denver - Denver by 10  (Actual:  Denver by 2)
Golden State @ Portland - Portland by 4  (Actual: Portland by 1)

Saturday, December 18, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 18

Predictions for Dec. 18

Philadelphia @ Orlando - Orlando by 10
Miami @ Washington - Miami by 13
New York @ Cleveland - New York by 7
LA Clippers @ Chicago - Chicago by 11
Utah @ Milwaukee - Utah by 8
Memphis @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 10
Minnesota @ Denver - Denver by 10
Golden State @ Portland - Portland by 4

Results from Dec. 17

8/11 (72.7%) last night; 99/142 (69.7%) overall

Cleveland @ Indiana - Indiana by 6  (Actual:  Indiana by 9)
Miami @ New York - Miami by 5  (Actual:  Miami by 21)
LA Lakers @ Philadelphia - LA Lakers by 9  (Actual:  LA Lakers by 12)
New Jersey @ Toronto - Toronto by 2  (Actual:  Toronto by 6)
Charlotte @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 7  (Actual:  Atlanta by 5)
LA Clippers @ Detroit - Detroit by 3  (Actual:  LA Clippers by 21)
Utah @ New Orleans - Utah by 7  (Actual:  New Orleans by 29)
Sacramento @ Oklahoma City - Oklahoma City by 11  (Actual:  Oklahoma City by 15)
Memphis @ Houston - Memphis by 3  (Actual:  Houston by 16)
Phoenix @ Dallas - Dallas by 9  (Actual:  Dallas by 15)
Minnesota @ Portland - Portland by 8  (Actual:  Portland by 5)

Thursday, December 16, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 17

Predictions for Dec. 17

Cleveland @ Indiana - Indiana by 6
Miami @ New York - Miami by 5
LA Lakers @ Philadelphia - LA Lakers by 9
New Jersey @ Toronto - Toronto by 2
Charlotte @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 7
LA Clippers @ Detroit - Detroit by 3
Utah @ New Orleans - Utah by 7
Sacramento @ Oklahoma City - Oklahoma City by 11
Memphis @ Houston - Memphis by 3
Phoenix @ Dallas - Dallas by 9
Minnesota @ Portland - Portland by 8

Results from Dec. 16

3/3 (100%) last night; 91/131 (69.5%) overall

Washington @ New Jersey - New Jersey by 1  (Actual:  New Jersey by 8)
Atlanta @ Boston - Boston by 6  (Actual:  Boston by 12)
San Antonio @ Denver - San Antonio by 6  (Actual:  San Antonio by 1)

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 16

Predictions for Dec. 16

Washington @ New Jersey - New Jersey by 1
Atlanta @ Boston - Boston by 6
San Antonio @ Denver - San Antonio by 6

Results from Dec. 15

11/11 (100%) last night; 88/128 (68.75%) overall

LA Lakers @ Indiana - LA Lakers by 4  (Actual:  LA Lakers by 15)
Boston @ New York - Boston by 6  (Actual:  Boston by 2)
LA Clippers @ Philadelphia - Philadelphia by 4  (Actual:  Philadelphia by 14)
Chicago @ Toronto - Chicago by 9  (Actual:  Chicago by 7)
Cleveland @ Miami - Miami by 12  (Actual:  Miami by 6)
Charlotte @ Memphis - Memphis by 4  (Actual:  Memphis by 33)
Sacramento @ New Orleans - New Orleans by 10  (Actual:  New Orleans by 3)
Houston @ Oklahoma City - Oklahoma City by 7  (Actual:  Oklahoma City by 12)
Milwaukee @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 9  (Actual:  San Antonio by 2)
Minnesota @ Phoenix - Phoenix by 6  (Actual:  Phoenix by 6)
Portland @ Dallas - Dallas by 8  (Actual: Dallas by 5)

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 15

Predictions for Dec. 15

LA Lakers @ Indiana - LA Lakers by 4
Boston @ New York - Boston by 6
LA Clippers @ Philadelphia - Philadelphia by 4
Chicago @ Toronto - Chicago by 9
Cleveland @ Miami - Miami by 12
Charlotte @ Memphis - Memphis by 4
Sacramento @ New Orleans - New Orleans by 10
Houston @ Oklahoma City - Oklahoma City by 7
Milwaukee @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 9
Minnesota @ Phoenix - Phoenix by 6
Portland @ Dallas - Dallas by 8

Results from Dec. 14

4/7 (57.1%) last night; 77/117 (65.8%) overall

Toronto @ Charlotte - Toronto by 1  (Actual:  Charlotte by 6)
Philadelphia @ New Jersey - Philadelphia by 1  (Actual:  Philadelphia by 5)
LA Lakers @ Washington - LA Lakers by 11  (Actual:  LA Lakers by 14)
Atlanta @ Detroit - Atlanta by 10  (Actual:  Detroit by 23)
Sacramento @ Houston - Houston by 5  (Actual:  Houston by 13)
Orlando @ Denver - Orlando by 4  (Actual:  Denver by 17)
Minnesota @ Golden State - Golden State by 4  (Actual: Golden State by 9)

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 14

Predictions for Dec. 14

Toronto @ Charlotte - Toronto by 1
Philadelphia @ New Jersey - Philadelphia by 1
LA Lakers @ Washington - LA Lakers by 11
Atlanta @ Detroit - Atlanta by 10
Sacramento @ Houston - Houston by 5
Orlando @ Denver - Orlando by 4
Minnesota @ Golden State - Golden State by 4

Results from Dec. 13

3/5 (60%) last night; 73/110 (66.4%) overall

New Orleans @ Miami - Miami by 3  (Actual:  Miami by 12)
Indiana @ Chicago - Chicago by 4  (Actual:  Chicago by 19)
Portland @ Memphis - Portland by 2  (Actual:  Memphis by 13)
Milwaukee @ Dallas - Dallas by 11  (Actual:  Milwaukee by 4)
Golden State @ Utah - Utah by 11  (Actual:  Utah by 13)

Monday, December 13, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 13

Predictions for Dec. 13

New Orleans @ Miami - Miami by 3
Indiana @ Chicago - Chicago by 4
Portland @ Memphis - Portland by 2
Milwaukee @ Dallas - Dallas by 11
Golden State @ Utah - Utah by 11

Results from Dec. 12

4/6 (66.7%) last night; 70/105 (66.7%) overall

Denver @ New York - Denver by 3  (Actual:  New York by 4)
New Orleans @ Philadelphia - New Orleans by 10  (Actual:  Philadelphia by 18)
LA Lakers @ New Jersey - LA Lakers by 10  (Actual:  LA Lakers by 7)
Portland @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 9  (Actual:  San Antonio by 17)
Cleveland @ Oklahoma City - Oklahoma City by 11  (Actual:  Oklahoma City by 29)
Orlando @ LA Clippers - Orlando by 13  (Actual:  Orlando by 9)

Sunday, December 12, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 12

Predictions for Dec. 12

Denver @ New York - Denver by 3
New Orleans @ Philadelphia - New Orleans by 10
LA Lakers @ New Jersey - LA Lakers by 10
Portland @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 9
Cleveland @ Oklahoma City - Oklahoma City by 11
Orlando @ LA Clippers - Orlando by 13

Results from Dec. 11

7/8 (87.5%) last night; 66/99 (66.7%) overall

Memphis @ LA Clippers - Memphis by 7  (Actual:  Memphis by 1)
Indiana @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 3  (Actual:  Atlanta by 14)
Boston @ Charlotte - Boston by 11  (Actual:  Boston by 31)
Toronto @ Detroit - Toronto by 2  (Actual:  Toronto by 4)
Minnesota @ Chicago - Chicago by 10  (Actual:  Chicago by 31)
Utah @ Dallas - Utah by 1  (Actual:  Dallas by 6)
Cleveland @ Houston - Houston by 3  (Actual:  Houston by 15)
Miami @ Sacramento - Miami by 12  (Actual:  Miami by 21)

Saturday, December 11, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 11

Predictions for Dec. 11

Memphis @ LA Clippers - Memphis by 7
Indiana @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 3
Boston @ Charlotte - Boston by 11
Toronto @ Detroit - Toronto by 2
Minnesota @ Chicago - Chicago by 10
Utah @ Dallas - Utah by 1
Cleveland @ Houston - Houston by 3
Miami @ Sacramento - Miami by 12

Results from Dec. 10

7/11 (63.6%) last night; 59/91 (64.8%) overall

Charlotte @ Indiana - Indiana by 4  (Actual:  Indiana by 8)
Denver @ Toronto - Denver by 7  (Actual:  Denver by 7)
New York @ Washington - New York by 7  (Actual:  New York by 6)
LA Lakers @ Chicago - LA Lakers by 1  (Actual:  Chicago by 4)
Detroit @ Minnesota - Detroit by 1  (Actual:  Minnesota by 10)
Oklahoma City @ New Orleans - New Orleans by 2  (Actual:  Oklahoma City by 5)
Houston @ Milwaukee - Houston by 1  (Actual:  Milwaukee by 6)
Atlanta @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 6  (Actual:  San Antonio by 16)
Portland @ Phoenix - Portland by 1  (Actual:  Portland by 7)
Orlando @ Utah - Utah by 2  (Actual:  Utah by 12)
Miami @ Golden State - Miami by 8  (Actual:  Miami by 22)

Friday, December 10, 2010

End-of-Season Projections: 20 Games In

Standing Eastern Conference Wins Western Conference Wins
1 Orlando 55 Dallas 61
2 Boston 54 San Antonio 59
3 Chicago 47 Utah 58
4 Miami 46 LA Lakers 51
5 Atlanta 44 New Orleans 51
6 Indiana 41 Oklahoma City 47
7 New York 39 Denver 44
8 Milwaukee 34 Phoenix 41
9 Toronto 33 Memphis 36
10 Cleveland 30 Portland 36
11 Charlotte 29 Houston 35
12 Detroit 29 Golden State 33
13 Washington 28 Minnesota 29
14 New Jersey 28 Sacramento 25
15 Philadelphia 27 LA Clippers 25

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 10

Predictions for Dec. 10

Charlotte @ Indiana - Indiana by 4
Denver @ Toronto - Denver by 7
New York @ Washington - New York by 7
LA Lakers @ Chicago - LA Lakers by 1
Detroit @ Minnesota - Detroit by 1
Oklahoma City @ New Orleans - New Orleans by 2
Houston @ Milwaukee - Houston by 1
Atlanta @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 6
Portland @ Phoenix - Portland by 1
Orlando @ Utah - Utah by 2
Miami @ Golden State - Miami by 8

Results from Dec. 9

2/3 (66.7%) last night; 52/80 (65%) overall

Boston @ Philadelphia - Boston by 12  (Actual:  Boston by 1)
New Jersey @ Dallas - Dallas by 14  (Actual:  Dallas by 13)
Orlando @ Portland - Orlando by 8  (Actual:  Portland by 14)

Thursday, December 9, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 9

Predictions for Dec. 9

Boston @ Philadelphia - Boston by 12
New Jersey @ Dallas - Dallas by 14
Orlando @ Portland - Orlando by 8

Results from Dec. 8

7/11 (63.6%) last night; 50/77 (64.9%) overall

Denver @ Boston - Boston by 5  (Actual:  Boston by 16)
Chicago @ Cleveland - Chicago by 9  (Actual:  Chicago by 5)
Toronto @ New York - New York by 4  (Actual:  New York by 3)
Indiana @ Milwaukee - Indiana by 5  (Actual:  Milwaukee by 2)
Oklahoma City @ Minnesota - Oklahoma City by 9  (Actual:  Oklahoma City by 8)
Detroit @ New Orleans - New Orleans by 10  (Actual:  New Orleans by 19)
Golden State @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 12  (Actual:  San Antonio by 17)
Memphis @ Phoenix - Phoenix by 2  (Actual:  Memphis by 6)
Miami @ Utah - Utah by 5  (Actual:  Miami by 13)
Washington @ Sacramento - Washington by 2  (Actual:  Sacramento by 25)
LA Lakers @ LA Clippers - LA Lakers by 12  (Actual:  LA Lakers by 1)

Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 8

Predictions for Dec. 8

Denver @ Boston - Boston by 5
Chicago @ Cleveland - Chicago by 9
Toronto @ New York - New York by 4
Indiana @ Milwaukee - Indiana by 5
Oklahoma City @ Minnesota - Oklahoma City by 9
Detroit @ New Orleans - New Orleans by 10
Golden State @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 12
Memphis @ Phoenix - Phoenix by 2
Miami @ Utah - Utah by 5
Washington @ Sacramento - Washington by 2
LA Lakers @ LA Clippers - LA Lakers by 12

Results from Dec. 7

4/7 (57.1%) last night; 43/66 (65.2%) overall

New Jersey @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 9  (Actual:  Atlanta by 15)
Denver @ Charlotte - Denver by 8  (Actual:  Charlotte by 2)
Cleveland @ Philadelphia - Cleveland by 1  (Actual:  Philadelphia by 20)
Golden State @ Dallas - Dallas by 12  (Actual:  Dallas by 5)
Detroit @ Houston - Houston by 2  (Actual:  Houston by 14)
Phoenix @ Portland - Phoenix by 3  (Actual:  Portland by 7)
Washington @ LA Lakers - LA Lakers by 11  (Actual:  LA Lakers by 7)

Tuesday, December 7, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 7

Predictions for Dec. 7

New Jersey @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 9
Denver @ Charlotte - Denver by 8
Cleveland @ Philadelphia - Cleveland by 1
Golden State @ Dallas - Dallas by 12
Detroit @ Houston - Houston by 2
Phoenix @ Portland - Phoenix by 3
Washington @ LA Lakers - LA Lakers by 11

Results from Dec. 6

4/7 (57.1%) last night; 39/59 (66.1%) overall

Toronto @ Indiana - Indiana by 5  (Actual:  Indiana by 24)
Atlanta @ Orlando - Orlando by 6  (Actual:  Atlanta by 6)
Minnesota @ New York - New York by 6  (Actual:  New York by 7)
Oklahoma City @ Chicago - Oklahoma City by 1  (Actual:  Chicago by 9)
Miami @ Milwaukee - Miami by 5  (Actual:  Miami by 10)
Memphis @ Utah - Utah by 10  (Actual:  Utah by 9)
Sacramento @ LA Clippers - Sacramento by 1  (Actual:  LA Clippers by 9)

Monday, December 6, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 6

Predictions for Dec. 6

Toronto @ Indiana - Indiana by 5
Atlanta @ Orlando - Orlando by 6
Minnesota @ New York - New York by 6
Oklahoma City @ Chicago - Oklahoma City by 1
Miami @ Milwaukee - Miami by 5
Memphis @ Utah - Utah by 10
Sacramento @ LA Clippers - Sacramento by 1

Results from Dec. 5

7/8 (87.5%) last night; 35/52 (67.3%) overall

Boston @ New Jersey - Boston by 12 (Actual:  Boston by 25)
New York @ Toronto - New York by 2  (Actual:  New York by 17)
Cleveland @ Detroit - Cleveland by 1  (Actual:  Detroit by 10)
Golden State @ Oklahoma City - Oklahoma City by 7  (Actual:  Oklahoma City by 5)
New Orleans @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 4  (Actual:  San Antonio by 25)
Memphis @ Denver - Denver by 6  (Actual:  Denver by 1)
Washington @ Phoenix - Phoenix by 6  (Actual:  Phoenix by 13)
LA Clippers @ Portland - Portland by 5  (Actual:  Portland by 9)

Sunday, December 5, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 5

Predictions for Dec. 4

Boston @ New Jersey - Boston by 12
New York @ Toronto - New York by 2
Cleveland @ Detroit - Cleveland by 1
Golden State @ Oklahoma City - Oklahoma City by 7
New Orleans @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 4
Memphis @ Denver - Denver by 6
Washington @ Phoenix - Phoenix by 6
LA Clippers @ Portland - Portland by 5

My Take

Boston has been playing well lately, and I expect them to win, but I wouldn't be surprised to see New Jersey give them a run for their money, similar to the 3OT game against OKC.

New York and Toronto are two teams that finally seem to be finding some chemistry.  They both have surprise wins in their last games with New York beating New Orleans and Toronto beating OKC.  This one should be close just like the predictions suggest.

Unlike the previous two teams, Cleveland and Detroit are two teams that are falling apart.  Cleveland has lost their last three by an average of 27 points while Detroit has lost their last three by an average of 16.  This is going to be a battle of who can play less bad for an excruciating 48 minutes.

If Kevin Durant plays tonight, OKC shouldn't have much of a problem.  Westbrook has stepped up in his absence and shown he's definitely one of the team's leaders.  The two are the highest-scoring duo in the league right now.

San Antonio has remained hot while New Orleans has fallen off the map in regards to elite teams.  After starting 11-1, they have since gone 2-5.  San Antonio has been perfect, though, losing a recent game to the Clippers and letting Minnesota stay close in the game after that.  New Orleans has a chance to knock off a heavyweight tonight.

After sitting around .500 through the first 12 games, Denver has strung together six wins.  Albeit, all but one of those was against a struggling team, but Memphis fits right into that category.

Washington has been a soft team so far this season.  Phoenix should be able to play their style; just watch out for Arenas getting hot from deep.

Blake Griffin is a monster and Portland is lacking some size down low.  If Griffin takes control down low, Clippers could be looking at their first road win of the season.

Results from Dec. 3

3/6 (50%) last night; 28/44 (63.6%) overall

Atlanta @ Miami - Miami by 1 (Actual:  Miami by 12)
Charlotte @ Philadelphia - Charlotte by 3 (Actual:  Philadelphia by 18)
Houston @ Chicago - Chicago by 5 (Actual:  Chicago by 3)
Cleveland @ Minnesota - Cleveland by 4 (Actual:  Minnesota by 34)
Orlando @ Milwaukee - Orlando by 10 (Actual:  Milwaukee by 11)
Dallas @ Sacramento - Dallas by 15 (Actual: Dallas by 2)

About Last Night

On the three games the predictions missed, it was no less than 21 points off, and a whopping 38 points off in the Cleveland/Minnesota match-up.  So what happened?

The Atlanta/Miami game turned out just about as I expected.

Philadelphia looked at Charlotte as someone they could actually beat, and took the opportunity to pick up another win.

Houston is showing better signs of life lately and managed to force overtime against a good team, but Boozer and Rose combining for 55 points, 16 rebounds, and 12 assists is a lot to handle.

Turned out Cleveland couldn't contain Kevin Love as he went off on them for 28 and 19.  Cleveland is quickly falling off into oblivion, losing their last three by a total of 81 points.

Similar story in Milwaukee as the short-handed Magic couldn't contain Andrew Bogut.  He had 31 and 18.

Win streaks get harder and harder to maintain the longer you go, even when you play the easier teams in the league, but Dallas managed to hold out for the victory.

Saturday, December 4, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 4

Predictions for Dec. 4

Atlanta @ Miami - Miami by 1
Charlotte @ Philadelphia - Charlotte by 3
Houston @ Chicago - Chicago by 5
Cleveland @ Minnesota - Cleveland by 4
Orlando @ Milwaukee - Orlando by 10
Dallas @ Sacramento - Dallas by 15

My Take

Atlanta and Miami have been two of the most inconsistent teams in the league so far, each with blowout wins and disappointing losses, and are only separated by a game. However, I think LeBron's return to Cleveland lit the fire within the Heat that we've been waiting to see. I expect Miami to have a blowout win.

Both Charlotte and Philadelphia have been bottom dwellers, only ever showing brief signs of life. Philadelphia seems to be in a race against LA Clippers, Sacramento, and Minnesota for the lottery, but maybe a home game against another struggling team is just what they need to put another mark in the win column.

Houston was able to pull off a slight upset against an inconsistent Memphis team, but I don't expect such luck against Chicago. The Bulls have been a solid team back east so far, and with the added depth of Boozer the margin of victory should be more than five.

Cleveland looked like a junior varsity team against Miami on Thursday night, but they should be able to pull themselves together and get a win against Minnesota, so long as they don't let Kevin Love's rebounding get too out of hand.

I was a little doubtful that Orlando would be able to pull off a win against Detroit with two players out sick last night, but they showed their depth and handled them without much problem. They shouldn't have too much trouble with Milwaukee

Dallas is the hottest team in the league right now, and Sacramento is one of the coldest. The streak will go to nine.

Results from Dec. 3

8/13 (61.5%) last night; 28/35 (73.7%) overall

New Jersey @ Charlotte - Charlotte by 1 (Actual:  Charlotte by 7)
Oklahoma City @ Toronto - Oklahoma City by 8 (Actual:  Toronto by 12)
Portland @ Washington - Portland by 6 (Actual:  Washington by 4)
Philadelphia @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 9 (Actual:  Atlanta by 5)
Orlando @ Detroit - Orlando by 12 (Actual:  Orlando by 13)
Chicago @ Boston - Boston by 4 (Actual:  Boston by 12)
Houston @ Memphis - Memphis by 2 (Actual:  Houston by 16)
New York @ New Orleans - New Orleans by 9 (Actual:  New York by 8)
Minnesota @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 14 (Actual:  San Antonio by 6)
LA Clippers @ Denver - Denver by 11 (Actual:  Denver by 5)
Indiana @ Phoenix - Indiana by 2 (Actual:  Phoenix by 8)
Dallas @ Utah - Dallas by 1 (Actual:  Dallas by 12)
Sacramento @ LA Lakers - LA Lakers by 12 (Actual: LA Lakers by 33)

Friday, December 3, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 3

Predictions for Dec. 3

New Jersey @ Charlotte - Charlotte by 1
Oklahoma City @ Toronto - Oklahoma City by 8
Portland @ Washington - Portland by 6
Philadelphia @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 9
Orlando @ Detroit - Orlando by 12
Chicago @ Boston - Boston by 4
Houston @ Memphis - Memphis by 2
New York @ New Orleans - New Orleans by 9
Minnesota @ San Antonio - San Antonio by 14
LA Clippers @ Denver - Denver by 11
Indiana @ Phoenix - Indiana by 2
Dallas @ Utah - Dallas by 1
Sacramento @ LA Lakers - LA Lakers by 12

Results from Dec. 2

2/2 (100%) last night; 20/25 (80%) overall

Miami @ Cleveland - Miami by 4 (Actual:  Miami by 28)
Phoenix @ Golden State - Phoenix by 2 (Actual:  Phoenix by 6)

Thursday, December 2, 2010

Game Predictions and Results: Dec. 2

Predictions for Dec. 2

Miami @ Cleveland - Miami by 4
Phoenix @ Golden State - Phoenix by 2

Results from Dec. 1

10/12 (83.3%) last night; 18/23 (78.3%) overall

Memphis @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 2 (Actual:  Atlanta by 3)
Oklahoma City @ New Jersey - Oklahoma City by 10 (Actual:  Oklahoma City by 3)
Washington @ Toronto - Toronto by 2 (Actual: Toronto by 19)
Portland @ Boston - Boston by 8 (Actual: Boston by 4)
Detroit @ Miami - Miami by 7 (Actual: Miami by 25)
Orlando @ Chicago - Orlando by 3 (Actual: Orlando by 29)
Charlotte @ New Orleans - New Orleans by 11 (Actual: New Orleans by 16)
Minnesota @ Dallas - Dallas by 15 (Actual: Dallas by 14)
LA Lakers @ Houston - LA Lakers by 11 (Actual: Houston by 10)
Milwaukee @ Denver - Denver by 7 (Actual: Denver by 11)
Indiana @ Utah - Utah by 6 (Actual: Utah by 22)
San Antonio @ LA Clippers - San Antonio by 16 (Actual: LA Clippers by 5)

Wednesday, December 1, 2010

"Don't think they're missing Boozer?"

Expectations were mixed early this season when it came to the Jazz, and for good reason. 20/10 man Boozer took his talents (and his propensity to get injured) elsewhere, budding rookie Wes Matthews got a handsome offer from Portland, and the Jazz said "no thanks" to the idea of bringing Korver and Brewer back. Mid summer, the only bright spot seemed to be the acquisition of Al Jefferson, who although being a 20/10 guy himself, still had question marks.

It's always a risk when you pick up a seemingly good player from a bad team. Not only can it be difficult to accurately gauge their talent, but players on losing teams tend to develop the mentality that losing is normal, maybe even that it's supposed to happen, and thus have roadblocks in taking their game to the next level. Could Jefferson overcome any loser mentality he may have? Could he handle only being a piece on a team and not the main focus? Could he learn to play defense under Sloan?

The first two games of the season, the answers looked to be "no". Jefferson wasn't the only piece that seemed to not fit. There couldn't have been a better time in sports history to use the term "discombobulated". Miscommunications abounded, players didn't know when to cut, when to set a pick, when to roll. It looked like a bunch of amateurs playing a bad pick-up game.

It's was about what I expected to see, though. I kept telling my friend that I didn't expect them to find their groove until 10-15 games into the season. When you add six new faces, there's going to be a big learning curve, especially when some of these faces are expected to fill big roles. Several games passed and the team still looked like they were on different pages. Surprisingly, however, they were managing to coming out with wins.

Now 20 games into the season, I can say they're really starting to hit their stride. Their average margin of victory since game 13 against the Spurs has gone from +0.2 to +5.1 thanks to a seven-game winning streak. The Jazz are playing as good of team basketball as I've seen in a while. They're comfortable with their roles and confident in each other. Even the questionable acquisitions of Earl Watson and Fransisco Elson are panning out. Over the last seven games, they've scored double what they did in the first 13. Granted, their minutes have increased tremendously, but Sloan doesn't give away playing time for free.

There are a couple abnormalities this season. The first of which is free throw shooting. Ever since the team rebuilt, the Jazz have been around 20th in the league in this category. This year, they're currently ranked 3rd with just over .800 shooting. That has helped them win at least a few ball games that they wouldn't have otherwise, because the second abnormality is lack of rebounding.

The Jazz have always been a very good rebounding team, typically ranking in the top three or four throughout the season. And this year? The rebounding woes have been so obvious that John Schuhmann had this to say in his power rankings: "Don't think they miss Carlos Boozer? They were outrebounded by 43 in four games last week and rank 28th in rebounding after ranking no worse than fifth in the four seasons he played at least 50 games."

This is an abnormality that I don't expect to stick around. They have two guys capable of a 20/10 on any given night starting, not to mention AK-47, Okur, Elson, and Fesenko. In the last two games, the Jazz have managed to out-rebound their opponents by 36. The Bucks and Pacers aren't necessarily slackers on the boards, either, ranking ninth and 12th respectively. It's a small sample, but it looks like everything is shaping up the way Jazz fans all hoped.

To answer your question, John, don't think we're missing who?

Game Predictions and Results

Predictions for Dec. 1

Memphis @ Atlanta - Atlanta by 2
Oklahoma City @ New Jersey - Oklahoma City by 10
Washington @ Toronto - Toronto by 2
Portland @ Boston - Boston by 8
Detroit @ Miami - Miami by 7
Orlando @ Chicago - Orlando by 3
Charlotte @ New Orleans - New Orleans by 11
Minnesota @ Dallas - Dallas by 15
LA Lakers @ Houston - LA Lakers by 11
Milwaukee @ Denver - Denver by 7
Indiana @ Utah - Utah by 6
San Antonio @ LA Clippers - San Antonio by 16

Results from Nov. 30

5/7 (71.4%) last night; 8/11 (72.7%) overall

Boston @ Cleveland - Boston by 7 (Actual:  Boston by 19)
Detroit @ Orlando - Orlando by 10 (Actual:  Orlando by 11)
Portland @ Philadelphia - Portland by 8 (Actual: Philadelphia by 9)
New Jersey @ New York - New York by 2 (Actual:  New York by 11)
LA Lakers @ Memphis - LA Lakers by 10 (Actual: Memphis by 2)
Indiana @ Sacramento - Indiana by 9 (Actual:  Indiana by 9)
San Antonio @ Golden State - San Antonio by 14 (Actual:  San Antonio by 20)

Monday, November 29, 2010

Power Rankings and Game Predictions

Power Rankings:

1 - San Antonio
2 - Dallas
3 - Utah
4 - LA Lakers
5 - Orlando
6 - Oklahoma City
7 - Boston
8 - Denver
9 - Chicago
10 - New Orleans
11 - Indiana
12 - Atlanta
13 - Miami
14 - New York
15 - Cleveland
16 - Memphis
17 - Phoenix
18 - Portland
19 - Toronto
20 - Charlotte
21 - Detroit
22 - Houston
23 - New Jersey
24 - Golden State
25 - Washington
26 - Milwaukee
27 - Philadelphia
28 - LA Clippers
29 - Minnesota
30 - Sacramento

*These power rankings are generated using points and wins, and are a direct indication of a team's recent performance.  The rankings are taken from each team's last game rather than after each team's x game.  With that in mind, if you think the rankings are off, please leave a comment.

Predictions for Nov. 30

Boston @ Cleveland - Boston by 7
Detroit @ Orlando - Orlando by 10
Portland @ Philadelphia - Portland by 8
New Jersey @ New York - New York by 2
LA Lakers @ Memphis - LA Lakers by 10
Indiana @ Sacramento - Indiana by 9
San Antonio @ Golden State - San Antonio by 14

Results from Nov. 29

3/4 (75%)

Washington @ Miami - Miami by 8 (Actual:  Miami by 11)
New Orleans @ Oklahoma City - New Orleans by 5  (Actual:  Oklahoma City by 6)
Houston @ Dallas - Dallas by 14 (Actual:  Dallas by 10)
Milwaukee @ Utah - Utah by 10 (Actual:  Utah by 21)

Sunday, November 28, 2010

End-of-Season Projections: 15 Games In

Standing Eastern Conference Wins Western Conference Wins
1 Orlando 53 Dallas 61
2 Boston 53 LA Lakers 61
3 Chicago 49 San Antonio 61
4 Miami 46 New Orleans 57
5 Indiana 45 Utah 51
6 Atlanta 41 Oklahoma City 50
7 Cleveland 36 Denver 47
8 New York 34 Portland 44
9 Toronto 34 Phoenix 40
10 Milwaukee 33 Memphis 37
11 New Jersey 32 Golden State 34
12 Detroit 31 Minnesota 27
13 Charlotte 31 Houston 27
14 Washington 29 Sacramento 27
15 Philadelphia 23 LA Clippers 21

Predictions for Monday:
Washington @ Miami - Miami by 8
New Orleans @ Oklahoma City - New Orleans by 5
Houston @ Dallas - Dallas by 14
Milwaukee @ Utah - Utah by 10

Saturday, November 27, 2010

End-of-Season Projections

Back on November 3rd, while the NBA season was still in its infancy, HangTime blogger, Sekou Smith posted this blog with some end-of-season projections based on average points scored and average points allowed by each team.  At that point in time, no team had played more than three or four games.  Several teams had not yet lost a game while others had not yet won a game.  As you might expect, the results were laughable, projecting three teams would top the 70 win mark with Miami winning a mind-boggling 78.  That means since they had already lost a game, they would have to go almost an entire season while only losing three more.

Whether Smith wanted to get fans riled up or was just entertained by the idea of such preposterous numbers, I knew their had to be a better way to generate projections, even early in the season.

So I got to work.

The formula Smith presents is called the Pythagorean Method, which gives you a ratio based on average points scored raised to x divided by the sum of average points scored raised to x and average points allowed raised to x.

I took this same formula as a starting point and started addressing the issues:

What if a team is having blowout wins and close losses (i.e. Miami Heat)?

I've included a team's actual win percentage in the formula and weighted it to have more and more significance as the season progresses (starts at 50% and increases to 100% by game 82).  If a team like Miami continued their trend until the end of the season, the projection may still say 78 wins, but the standings would tell a different story.  Including this variably weighted factor brings projections closer to reality as more reliable information is collected.

What if a team has a difficult or easy schedule?

I've also included a Strength of Schedule factor that will either bump a team's projection up or down based on the quality of opponents they have recently been playing against.  The Strength of Schedule is calculated by taking an exponential moving average of each opponent's projected win percentage.  I opted to use the projected win percentage over the actual win percentage for all these same reasons.

What if a team starts out undefeated or winless?

 I was a little stumped by what to do with this issue at first.  I thought of carrying over each teams' record from the previous season as a starter, but decided that would cause inaccuracies due to player movements during the off-season (i.e. Cleveland).  I thought about solving that by narrowing the spectrum and limiting it to .400-.600 or so.  That still wouldn't solve problems caused by teams like Cleveland (or more accurately, people like LeBron).  I finally settled on assuming each team was average and project them to finish .500.  This average number is what starts the Strength of Season calculation and allows it to reach realistic calculations early on.

There are other issues that could also be addressed, such as home-court advantage (home team wins approx. 57%) and inter-conference games (west beats east approx. 55%), but I think I've managed to address the most glaring issues.

Here are some end-of-season projections using my current system:

One game in:
Standing Eastern Conference Wins Western Conference Wins
1 Cleveland 50 Denver 49
2 Orlando 49 Dallas 48
3 Atlanta 48 San Antonio 48
4 Boston 47 Oklahoma City 48
5 New York 47 New Orleans 47
6 New Jersey 47 LA Lakers 46
7 Detroit 35 Sacramento 46
8 Milwaukee 35 Portland 45
9 Toronto 35 Golden State 44
10 Miami 35 Minnesota 36
11 Chicago 34 Houston 36
12 Indiana 34 LA Clippers 35
13 Philadelphia 34 Memphis 34
14 Charlotte 34 Phoenix 34
15 Washington 33 Utah 33

Five games in:
Standing Eastern Conference Wins Western Conference Wins
1 Miami 58 LA Lakers 64
2 Atlanta 57 New Orleans 62
3 Orlando 53 San Antonio 50
4 Boston 51 Golden State 49
5 New York 46 Portland 48
6 Cleveland 39 Sacramento 46
7 Chicago 38 Denver 46
8 New Jersey 36 Dallas 45
9 Indiana 33 Oklahoma City 41
10 Toronto 32 Memphis 38
11 Milwaukee 29 Utah 38
12 Philadelphia 28 Phoenix 37
13 Charlotte 27 LA Clippers 30
14 Washington 27 Minnesota 26
15 Detroit 22 Houston 23


Ten games in:
Standing Eastern Conference Wins Western Conference Wins
1 Boston 57 New Orleans 65
2 Miami 51 LA Lakers 57
3 Orlando 50 Dallas 57
4 Chicago 47 San Antonio 56
5 Atlanta 44 Utah 52
6 Milwaukee 44 Phoenix 49
7 Cleveland 38 Oklahoma City 45
8 Indiana 37 Portland 44
9 New Jersey 35 Denver 43
10 Detroit 34 Golden State 41
11 Charlotte 30 Memphis 38
12 New York 28 Houston 31
13 Washington 28 Minnesota 29
14 Toronto 28 Sacramento 28
15 Philadelphia 26 LA Clippers 21